Why Is Knight-Swift (KNX) Down 4% Since Last Earnings Report?

A month has gone by since the last earnings report for Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings (KNX). Shares have lost about 4% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.

But investors have to be wondering, will the recent negative trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Knight-Swift due for a breakout? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at its latest earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important catalysts.

Knight-Swift Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates

Knight-Swift reported second-quarter 2026 adjusted earnings of 63 cents per share, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 49 cents by 28.6% and increased 80.0% year over year. Stronger pricing and network efficiency across asset-based operations supported the improvement.

Total revenues of $2.10 billion surpassed the consensus mark of $2.01 billion by 4.3% and rose 12.6% year over year. Truckload revenue per loaded mile, excluding fuel surcharge and intersegment transactions, increased 5.5%.

KNX’s Consolidated Profitability Improves

Revenue excluding truckload and LTL fuel surcharge increased 5.5% year over year to $1.76 billion. Operating income rose 44.4% to $104.85 million, while adjusted operating income advanced 45.5% to $150.95 million.

The consolidated operating ratio improved 110 basis points to 95.0%. The adjusted operating ratio improved 240 basis points to 91.4%, reflecting better pricing and network efficiency across the asset-based businesses. Adjusted net income climbed 79.7% to $102.75 million.

Knight-Swift’s Truckload Engine Accelerates

Truckload revenues, excluding fuel surcharge and intersegment transactions, increased 2.8% year over year to $1.10 billion. The gain came despite a 2.6% decline in loaded miles, as tighter driver availability pressured the seated tractor count.

Adjusted operating income surged 69.4% to $98.92 million. The adjusted operating ratio improved 360 basis points to 91.0%, helped by pricing gains and a 140-basis-point reduction in empty miles. U.S. Xpress’ over-the-road division achieved its first profitable quarter since the acquisition.

KNX’s LTL Mix Supports Margin Recovery

Less-than-truckload revenues, excluding fuel surcharge, declined 1.4% to $333.01 million as shipments per day fell 3.7%. However, daily tonnage increased 4.0%, weight per shipment rose 7.9% and length of haul expanded 5.3%.

Revenue per shipment, excluding fuel surcharge, grew 3.4%, while revenue per hundredweight fell 4.2% because of heavier shipments. Adjusted operating income increased 13.3% to $26.45 million, and the adjusted operating ratio improved 100 basis points to 92.1%.

Knight-Swift’s Logistics and Intermodal Diverge

Logistics revenues rose 8.9% to $139.70 million, driven by a 29.6% increase in revenue per load, partly offset by a 16.4% drop in load count. Gross margin contracted 350 basis points to 15.4% as purchased transportation costs increased faster than customer pricing. Adjusted operating income declined 25.7%.

Intermodal revenues jumped 34.9% to $113.39 million. Load count increased 19.6% and revenue per load rose 12.8%, helping the segment post operating income of $0.65 million versus a $3.43 million loss a year earlier. Its operating ratio improved 470 basis points to 99.4%.

KNX’s Other Businesses Face Special Charges

All Other Segments’ revenues increased 41.8% year over year to $105.56 million, supported by growth in warehousing and trailer leasing. These businesses generated an additional $7 million of income contribution compared with the prior-year quarter.

The segment recorded an operating loss of $10.43 million compared with income of $6.75 million a year earlier. Results included $5.8 million of accounts receivable securitization costs and an $18.2 million severance charge primarily tied to the former executive chairman’s retirement.

Knight-Swift’s Liquidity and Capital Spending

Knight-Swift ended June with $186.11 million in cash and cash equivalents. Year-to-date operating cash flow was $450.36 million, while free cash flow totaled $190.44 million after $259.92 million of net capital expenditures.

The company issued $1.50 billion of 1% convertible notes and used proceeds to repay floating-rate borrowings. Management expects the refinancing to generate roughly $44 million of annual pretax savings. Full-year net cash capital expenditures remain projected at $600-$650 million.

KNX’s Q3 Outlook Points Higher

KNX expects third-quarter 2026 adjusted earnings of 71-77 cents per share. Truckload revenue, excluding fuel surcharge, is projected to rise by a mid-single-digit percentage, with the adjusted operating ratio improving 650-750 basis points year over year.

LTL revenue, excluding fuel surcharge, is expected to grow by a low-single-digit percentage, with the adjusted operating ratio in the low 90s. Logistics performance is expected to remain fairly stable sequentially, while intermodal revenue is projected to increase by a low-single-digit percentage from the second quarter.

How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?

In the past month, investors have witnessed a upward trend in fresh estimates.

The consensus estimate has shifted 8.2% due to these changes.

VGM Scores

At this time, Knight-Swift has a great Growth Score of A, a score with the same score on the momentum front. Charting a somewhat similar path, the stock has a score of B on the value side, putting it in the top 40% for value investors.

Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of A. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.

Outlook

Estimates have been broadly trending upward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions looks promising. Notably, Knight-Swift has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). We expect an in-line return from the stock in the next few months.

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This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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