Old Dominion EPS Estimates Northbound: How to Play the Stock?

With ODFL shares moving north, we assess the current positioning of the stock to determine if it's a good investment at this juncture.

Zacks Equity Research

3 min read

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) is currently mired in multiple tailwinds, which, we believe, have made it an impressive investment option. The positive sentiment surrounding Old Dominion stock is evident from the fact that the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the third quarter of 2026 and the fourth quarter of 2026 earnings has been revised upward in the past 60 days. The consensus mark for 2026 and 2027 earnings has also been projected upward in the past 60 days.

The favorable estimate revisions indicate brokers’ lack of confidence in the stock.

Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Given this backdrop, the question now arises whether it is worth buying, holding, or selling the Old Dominion stock at current prices. Let us delve deeper to find out.

Factors Working in Favor of ODFL Stock

ODFL’s disciplined approach to pricing is highly commendable. The company’s cost-based approach to pricing enables it to retain customers and supports tonnage even in times of weak demand. This is borne out by the LTL revenue per hundredweight indicator (a commonly used indicator for general pricing trends in the industry), which for ODFL improved 2.4% in 2024 despite demand weakness. The same metric improved 3.9% year over year in 2025.

Old Dominion’s solid balance sheet increases financial flexibility. The company ended second-quarter 2026 with cash and equivalents of $283.9 million, higher than the current debt level of $20 million. This implies that the company has sufficient cash to meet its current debt obligations.

A solid balance sheet enables the company to reward shareholders with dividends and share repurchases. As a reflection of its shareholder-friendly stance, ODFL paid dividends of $175.1 million and repurchased shares worth $453.6 million in 2023, despite the weakness pertaining to freight demand. During 2024, ODFL paid out dividends worth $223.6 million and repurchased shares worth $967.3 million.

During 2025, ODFL paid out dividends worth $235.6 million and repurchased shares worth $730.3 million. For the first six months of this year, ODFL repurchased shares worth $239.7 million and paid $120.7 million in cash dividends.

ODFL Stock’s Price Performance

Shares of ODFL have gained 28.5% so far this year, underperforming the transportation-truck industry’s 35.1% surge, as well as that of other industry players, J.B. Hunt Transport Services JBHT and Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. KNX within the same time frame.

ODFL Stock’s YTD Price Comparison

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Unattractive Valuation Picture for ODFL Stock

Old Dominion looks expensive from a valuation standpoint. Considering the forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio (P/E-F12M), ODFL is trading at a premium compared to the industry.

The stock has a forward 12-month P/E-F12M of 31.93X compared with 28.5X for the industry over the past five years. The company’s forward 12-month P/E-F12M ratio is also above the median level of 29.91X over the past five years. These factors indicate that the stock’s valuation is unattractive. ODFL has a Value Score of F.

ODFL P/E Ratio (Forward 12 Months) Vs. Industry

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Time to Buy ODFL Stock

Old Dominion’s cost-based approach to pricing enables the company to retain customers and supports tonnage even in times of weak demand. ODFL’s solid balance sheet allows it to reward shareholders through dividends and share buybacks are impressive. Such shareholder-friendly moves boost investor confidence and positively impact the company's bottom line. We believe that the positives surrounding the stock (as highlighted throughout the write-up) outweigh the concerns regarding revenue weakness as geopolitical uncertainty and high inflation continue to hurt consumer sentiment and growth expectations. The increase in inflation in the past few months shows that we are not yet out of the woods as far as inflation is concerned. Driver shortages continue to bother the trucking industry and its players.

We, therefore, suggest investors add Old Dominion stock to their portfolios for healthy returns. The company’s Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) further supports our thesis. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

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